Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 15.621235 17.644985 19.847411 22.424838 25.361711 28.607745 32.472700
2025-02-16 11.825764 14.406694 17.448073 21.306913 26.087609 31.835284 39.298645
2025-02-23 9.496011 12.311606 15.855200 20.665299 27.059904 35.318124 46.871141
2025-03-02 7.934203 10.842121 14.711897 20.276887 28.138350 38.941427 55.074334
2025-03-09 6.872315 9.829653 13.961147 20.211089 29.526604 43.054421 64.473808
2025-03-16 6.039158 8.992344 13.298991 20.113871 30.770426 47.033694 74.186726
2025-03-23 5.569388 8.606179 13.214116 20.817581 33.252645 53.137537 88.046645
2025-03-30 5.040935 8.051796 12.785650 20.896786 34.711049 57.759187 100.122608
2025-04-06 4.489277 7.386905 12.090704 20.429496 35.163977 60.717693 109.706759
2025-04-13 4.046571 6.844942 11.524930 20.090087 35.757068 63.938735 120.167892
2025-04-20 3.814346 6.630166 11.479872 20.640513 37.983603 70.340331 137.544153
2025-04-27 3.634302 6.483737 11.531536 21.360481 40.597655 77.781236 158.091091
2025-05-04 3.384207 6.192965 11.307781 21.569007 42.321449 83.864756 177.152919
2025-05-11 3.073906 5.758593 10.773667 21.117390 42.685111 87.298715 191.213531
2025-05-18 2.810960 5.386191 10.316469 20.761540 43.195755 91.107558 206.773410
2025-05-25 2.587774 5.067387 9.928384 20.497144 43.859406 95.329336 224.015706
2025-06-01 2.414933 4.830565 9.677460 20.487921 45.072932 100.932124 245.549714
2025-06-08 2.253281 4.599610 9.413182 20.415277 46.129207 106.317859 267.504316
2025-06-15 2.178688 4.542333 9.505108 21.142507 49.132941 116.736814 304.379234
2025-06-22 2.055195 4.367728 9.326410 21.228633 50.616332 123.664511 333.212094
2025-06-29 1.898848 4.105976 8.929693 20.755931 50.661717 126.976089 352.615090
2025-07-06 1.767004 3.885869 8.603530 20.411858 50.979604 131.023807 374.861594
2025-07-13 1.709650 3.829151 8.644437 20.972206 53.711170 141.901420 419.522982